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Marketing Pulse Nov 5

ARM share climbs to 11.4%: build a fixed-versus-ARM explainer this week

More applicants are choosing adjustable rates while total demand slips, which makes a clear side-by-side of the 7-year ARM and the 30-year fixed your most timely piece of content.

Thursday, November 5, 2026 30Y 7.20%15Y 6.60%5/1 ARM 6.50%

More applicants are choosing adjustable rates. HousingWire reports the ARM share of MBA mortgage applications rose to 11.4% last week, even as total applications fell 1.2% and purchase applications fell 4%. Mortgage News Daily's 7/6 SOFR ARM reads 6.73% this morning against 7.22% on its own 30-year fixed, a gap of 0.49 point. A product gaining share in a slow market is a product your buyers will hear about from someone, and it is better that they hear it from you, tradeoffs included.

The rate context makes this a payment conversation, not a timing bet. Bankrate's 30-year fixed holds at 7.22%, the low of its 30-day window but still in the upper part of its 90-day range of 6.67% to 7.57%. On a $400K loan, the 7/6 ARM at 6.73% runs about $2,589 a month in principal and interest against about $2,721 on the fixed at 7.22%, about $131 a month less, or roughly $11,000 over the seven-year fixed period. The segment that fits is buyers who expect to sell or refinance within that window: first move-up buyers, households likely to relocate and buyers stretching to qualify on a home they plan to grow out of.

The tactical move is a two-column explainer rather than a rate pitch. Put the fixed and the ARM side by side on one loan amount, show the monthly difference and the seven-year total, then state plainly that the ARM rate can change after year seven and what the caps on your product allow. Keep that last line in: a payment figure without the adjustment terms reads as a teaser rate, and under Regulation Z's advertising rules a stated payment is a trigger term that brings its own required disclosures. With PMMS today and the October jobs report Friday, a short video recorded this week has a natural peg.

Do this today

build one fixed-versus-ARM comparison on a $400K purchase using your own sheet's pricing and caps, and send it to every active purchase file that has not locked.

Borrower segments to act on today

Active purchase files for a fixed-vs-ARM side-by-side

In-flight buyers are pricing against a 30-year at 7.22% while MND's 7/6 SOFR ARM sits 0.49 point lower; a side-by-side before Friday's jobs report gives each one a clear choice.

active loans · purchases
Purchase clients closed 6 to 24 months ago at 7.5%+

Recent buyers who closed near the top of the range and expect to move again within a few years are the natural audience for an ARM refinance conversation; run the numbers against their actual horizon and closing costs.

closed loans · 6–24mo since close · rate ≥7.50% · purchases

Today’s content angles

Short-form video

30-second fixed-vs-ARM payment video

Quick one for anyone buying this year: on a $400K loan, a 7-year adjustable rate runs about $131 a month less than a 30-year fixed right now. That's roughly $11,000 over the first seven years. The tradeoff is real: after year seven, the rate can change. If you think you'll move or refinance before then, it's worth a look. Message me ARM and I'll run both options on your number, side by side, so you can decide.

Tactics worth stealing

Put the adjustment terms next to the payment

In any post or email that quotes a monthly payment, a stated payment amount is a trigger term, so the ad must also give the down payment, the repayment terms and the APR, including that the rate can increase. Build those lines into your ARM template once so every version carries them.

Regulation Z, 12 CFR 1026.24(d) (advertising trigger terms)